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- Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts
Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts
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Excerpt from Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts: A Nine-Industry Study
Second, because the error terms in the fixed effects model are severely non normal, a non-parametric approach is taken. The non-parametric tests compare, for each industry, the observed distribution of analysts' average (through time) ranks with the distribution which would be expected if all analysts are alike, and each year is an independent observation. The non-parametric tests fail to reject the hypothesis that the observed distribution is identical to the expected distribution, in eight of the nine industries. Continuing research will investigate the source of the differences in the single industry in which the null hypothesis is rejected.
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