Relating Climate Change to Its Effects: A Research Paper

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Because climate can exert a profound influence on man=s use of the environment, interest in global climate is widespread and growing. Still, there is little consensus concerning the direction, magnitude, and timing of global climatic change, there is no accepted methodology for determining what effect a global climate change would have on climate-sensitive endeavors, such as agriculture, and data essential to this linkage process have not been readily available. This report partially fill s these voids: It describes a simple model that evaluates the effect of climate. It offers, as an example, an explanation of how the model was used to derive an estimate of grain production as a function of climate. It provides a data base that permits researchers to use the model to make estimates of the effects of climate on subjects of their interest. It suggests ways to improve the reliability of such estimates in given geographic areas.

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